UEFA Super Cup Betting Tips – Man City v Sevilla

14th August 2023

Last season was the greatest in Manchester City’s history. Only once before has an English side won the treble of Premier League, Champions League and FA Cup; City’s biggest rivals, of course, Manchester United. It took a monumental effort to achieve this, and for my money, you can now put this City team up amongst the greatest teams the world has ever seen.

It was a poor season for Sevilla in La Liga, having finished a lowly 11th place, after finishing in a Champions League position for the three seasons prior. They did of course win the Europa League for a record 7th time last season, which is four more times than the second highest amount. They just have a knack of winning that competition.

One competition they don’t have a good record in, though, is UEFA Super Cup, which they have competed for on six occasions, but won just one of those games.

It’s been a worrying pre-season for fans of all big teams though, with Saudi Arabian money coming for numerous top players. City have seen Riyad Mahrez go, of course. Ilkay Gundogan has also left on a free transfer to Barcelona, and that is two huge players they have lost. It seems very likely that Joao Cancelo will be leaving the club soon, and worryingly, Bernardo Silva and Kyle Walker could also be leaving. 

Mateo Kovacic has come in who will be a very useful player. Josko Gvardiol is an absolutely brilliant signing and I am sure he will go on to be one of the world’s best defenders. Lucas Paqueta and Jeremy Doku are also linked to the club.

It would seem the likes of Rico Lewis and Cole Palmer are going to be extremely important players this term. Lewis played against Burnley in the first Premier League game, which saw City win 3-0, while Palmer came off the bench to score in the Community Shield, a beautiful curling strike from outside the area, whilst also appearing as a sub against Burnley.

Sevilla have done solid business, bringing in the likes of Loic Bade and Djibril Sow, whilst seeing Karim Rekik and Rony Lopes leave the club.

In the aforementioned Community Shield game, City lost on penalties against Arsenal after drawing 1-1, with the game going straight to penalties. Sevilla beat Roma in a shootout to lift the Europa League last season, so perhaps that could play a part psychologically if it went to penalties. For the first ever time, the UEFA Super Cup will also go straight to penalties if the scores are level after 90 minutes.

Manchester City v Sevilla Match Winner Market

Manchester City 4/11 (Ladbrokes)

Draw 4/1 (Bet365)

Sevilla 15/2 (Coral)

(Please note all odds are correct at time of article publishing)

Man City started their league campaign in fine style with a 3-0 win at Burnley on Friday night. At the same time, Sevilla continued last season’s poor league form, going down 2-1 at home to Valencia.

You just have to feel there are several things that point to a Man City win. They are clearly the better side, they have started the season better, and Sevilla have a poor record in this competition. Plus Pep Guardiola likes to win everything, hence you saw City win the League Cup four times in a row.

To Win To Nil Market

Man City 5/4 (Bet365)

Sevilla 16/1 (Coral)

There isn’t much value in City to win at 4/11, however, the 5/4  that Bet365 offer on them to win to nil (to win without conceding a goal) is extremely tempting. 

First Goalscorer Market (Selected) (All odds from Bet365)

There’s one name that obviously stands out there: Haaland. Last season – and throughout his whole career – he has just been a licence to print money. He scored on Friday first, and he’s the obvious choice to do it again on Wednesday.

I always prefer the Anytime Goalscorer Market, though, as I don’t like to see my bets go down on the first goal. Bet365 offer 8/11 that he does that, and even though it’s short, I am all over it. Look out for odds boosts that certain bookmakers do; Haaland to score at anytime is often boosted to evens at Bet365 and others.

Pep Guardiola feels Kevin de Bruyne could be out for some time after going off injured against Burnley. Ruben Dias and John Stones will also miss out once again through injury. Tanguy Nianzou misses out for Sevilla.

I think Sevilla will work hard to keep this game tight. I can see City winning it, but not by much. I think it will be 2-0, possibly 1-0. 

Betting Recommendations

Erling Haaland to score anytime 8/11 (Bet365)

Man City to win to nil 5/4 (Bet365)

Erling Haaland to score first 12/5 (Bet365)

Man City to win 2-0 6/1 (Coral)